Addled Brain



28th November – Board 23: East/West Game. Dealer East.
It struck me that I would have opened that East hand with 4H having as I did an extra heart, although on the hand in question that would not have been a winning move.


North:
S Q 5 2
H K 8 7
D 4 2
C A K 8 7 4

West:
S 8 6 4
H J
D A K 7
C J 10 9 6 3 2

East:
S 9 7
H A Q 10 9 6 4 3 2
D Q J
C 5

South:
S A K J 10 3
H 5
D 10 9 8 6 5 3
C Q


  West
 North
  East
  South
     
   
  3H/4H?
    End

In a desperate effort to reassure myself that 4H was the winning bid in the long run I attempted to calculate the expected gain by so doing and although my addled brain was not functioning as well it might with so many grey cells fleeing by the second I did, with the knowledge of a few percentages, come to the conclusion that there was nothing much in it at all. However that assumed perfect defence and although on the hand in question it would be easy for South to lob out a couple of big spades he then has to switch to a club and on a different layout altogether that might not be so easy to find. So put me down for 4H and let me explain afterwards why I was right!

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